The 2024 U.S. House election for California’s 45th District is one of the most competitive races this year. Incumbent Republican Michelle Steel is facing Democratic challenger Derek Tran. The race is currently rated as a “toss-up,” with both candidates having a 50% chance of winning. Recent polls show Tran slightly ahead by 2-3 percentage points, but the margin is within the polling error, making the outcome highly uncertain.
Steel, who has won this district twice, is running on her track record and support among conservative Asian American voters. Meanwhile, Tran is emphasizing issues like abortion rights and corporate accountability, aiming to harness the district’s liberal shift in recent years. Given that this district voted for Joe Biden by a six-point margin in 2020, Democrats see it as a potential flip. According to RealClearPolling Ballotpedia The Hill Spectrum News.
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