As of October 24, 2024, the predictions for the U.S. presidential election are closely contested between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Current models suggest Trump has a slight lead, with about a 52% chance of winning, compared to Harris’s 48%. Polls indicate Trump has advantages in several key battleground states, such as Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, and Wisconsin, but many of these are within the margin of error, keeping the outcome uncertain. Both candidates are vying for the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the presidency, and neither has a clear path yet.
Regarding the overall Congressional races, the GOP is also favored to maintain or gain control of both the House and Senate, with significant chances of flipping Democratic-held seats, especially in the Senate.
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